My Feelings about the Election

These could change between now and November.

1. Voting for Gary Johnson, the libertarian camdidate, is obviously right. Both in terms of policy views and temperament/experience, he is clearly the best person on the ballot.

2. The fact that top Republicans are not endorsing Johnson makes me angry.

3. Let’s assume Johnson has no chance. I still will vote for him, but I will hope that Trump wins. If Trump wins, then people on the left will, at least temporarily, be thinking in terms of restraining Presidential power. If Clinton wins, they will be thinking in terms of maximizing Presidential power.

Anti-Trump Protesters

In the Columbia Journalism Review, Bill Wyman writes,

there’s one complicated Media vs. Trump story playing out that’s been overlooked. I speak of the media coverage of the Trump protests that have disrupted many of his appearances and, somewhat regrettably, they leave me having to stand up for Donald Trump. Why? Because the First Amendment does not take sides, not even against pumpkin-haired, nonsense-spewing, bloviating demagogues.

I got into a rare heated discussion with a lefty friend about this a couple of weeks ago. He was reciting the then-current left-wing talking points that the Republican Party was reaping what it has sowed with Trump and Trump was interfering with the right of people to protest. I said that the role of protest varies by context and by type of protest.

The context concerns what alternatives you have. In the case of Trump, you have many alternatives to getting to the face of his supporters and yelling at them. You can vote for someone else, you can contribute to someone else’s campaign, you can express your views about Trump in various media. In a context where you have no right to engage in other forms of political expression, I can be much more sympathetic to staging protests.

If you still choose to exercise voice at a Trump rally rather than rely on the other available alternatives, then I think that the less polite you are the less legitimate your “protest.” You can politely and quietly hold up signs. But it is wrong to scream at his supporters or try to keep Trump from being heard. We do not need to instill a culture of political violence in this country.

I do not think that my friend was persuaded to be less than completely sympathetic with the so-called protesters. So I am glad to see that someone who is disturbed by the Trump phenomenon (as am I) is still willing to criticize the anti-Trump protest phenomenon.

What Paul Ryan Represents

To me, he is a conservative intellectual. As such, he is hated by most intellectuals for being conservative. And he is hated by populists for being establishment.

I empathize with his plight. What are the choices for conservative intellectuals?

1. Try to win back the Trump supporters. This would make conservatism even more alienated from intellectuals. It would replace principled conservatism with divisive class warfare.

2. Try to win over intellectuals to liberaltarianism. I fear that this is an escapist fantasy. The left neither wants nor needs people who value liberty in the classical sense of the term. I am reading Kim R. Holmes’ book on the closing of the liberal mind, which makes this point forcefully.

3. Accept one’s place on an irrelevant fringe of American politics.

I go with number 3. Political environments can change. Maybe things will suddenly get better for conservative intellectuals. Or maybe the opposite.

Have a nice day.

Smugness in Politics

Emmitt Rensin writes,

There is a smug style in American liberalism. It has been growing these past decades. It is a way of conducting politics, predicated on the belief that American life is not divided by moral difference or policy divergence — not really —but by the failure of half the country to know what’s good for them.

If a conservative writer had said this, it would be dog bites man. Instead, I gather that Rensin himself leans left. Hence I quoted it.

Somehow, although this smugness clearly has spawned widespread resentment, 2016 looks as though it will be a golden year for the political left, and a dismal year for conservatives and libertarians. So there is no reason for anyone to feel smug.

Arthur Brooks, the Dalai Lama, and My Blog

Brooks (note, not David) writes,

each of us must aspire to what the Dalai Lama calls “warmheartedness” toward those with whom we disagree. This might sound squishy, but it is actually tough and practical advice. As he has stated, “I defeat my enemies when I make them my friends.” He is not advocating surrender to the views of those with whom we disagree. Liberals should be liberals and conservatives should be conservatives. But our duty is to be respectful, fair and friendly to all, even those with whom we have great differences.

Is there any higher authority?

Tyler Cowen Talks with Jonathan Haidt

Self-recommending. Here is one excerpt:

Whenever there was an empire, the empire always ran into trouble. At that point, there are those who say, “Our misfortunes are because we have lost the ways of the elders. The gods are punishing us for departing from the wisdom. We need to return!” Those are the people I would bet who if you could transplant them, they would grow up to be more conservative. They feel the moral decay. They feel the loss of the tradition.

Here is another:

The basic fact about moral argument is that we’re not really listening to each other, we’re not actually open to reasoning. We start with our gut feeling or our partisan loyalty, and at that point we become lawyers. We’re really good at being lawyers and knocking down the other guy’s arguments, and giving them our own…

Once it becomes left versus right over Obamacare, it doesn’t matter however good your arguments are, I’m not listening. I’ve got my team, and we’re on a mission to defeat your team.

But read the whole thing.

Martin Gurri on Donald Trump

He writes,

The right level of analysis on Trump isn’t Trump, but the public that endows him with a radical direction and temper, and the decadent institutions that have been too weak to stand in his way.

The American public, like the public everywhere, is engaged in a long migration away from the structures of representative democracy to more sectarian arrangements. In Henri Rosanvallon’s term, the democratic nation has devolved into a “society of distrust.” The reasons, Rosanvallon argues, are deep and structural, but we also have available a simple functional explanation: the perception, not always unjustified, that democratic government has failed to deliver on its promises.

Recall that Gurri wrote The Revolt of the Public, which predicted the revolt against the establishment that Trump represents.

Read the whole post, which includes this:

The charts show Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, Trump’s chief opponents, drowning deep below the awareness threshold. They and their messages were largely nonexistent to the public.

Honor, Face, Dignity, and Victimhood

Jorg Friedrichs writes [UPDATE: link fixed],

In short, status is more salient for honor and face than for dignity cultures. In honor cultures, hierarchy is like a “pecking order” with “cockfights” rife among status-anxious rivals because the honor code requires defending honor against real or perceived challenges from peers. In face cultures, hierarchy is engrained in the collective consciousness of the group and status anxiety cannot burst into conflict because people must know their place. In dignity cultures, self-worth is a birthright so status and, by implication, status anxiety should matter less.

There is a lot of interesting, speculative discussion along these lines.

On a related note, in a recent Cowen-Haidt discussion, Jonathan Haidt brought up one of his old posts.

I just read the most extraordinary paper by two sociologists — Bradley Campbell and Jason Manning — explaining why concerns about microaggressions have erupted on many American college campuses in just the past few years. In brief: We’re beginning a second transition of moral cultures. The first major transition happened in the 18th and 19th centuries when most Western societies moved away from cultures of honor (where people must earn honor and must therefore avenge insults on their own) to cultures of dignity in which people are assumed to have dignity and don’t need to earn it. They foreswear violence, turn to courts or administrative bodies to respond to major transgressions, and for minor transgressions they either ignore them or attempt to resolve them by social means. There’s no more dueling.

Campbell and Manning describe how this culture of dignity is now giving way to a new culture of victimhood in which people are encouraged to respond to even the slightest unintentional offense, as in an honor culture. But they must not obtain redress on their own; they must appeal for help to powerful others or administrative bodies, to whom they must make the case that they have been victimized.

The Republican Crack-up

Joel Kotkin writes,

GOP libertarians want more social freedoms; social conservatives want less. Neocons hunger for war, while most other Republicans, both libertarian and constitutionalist conservatives, reject Bushian interventionism. The rising populist wave now inundating the party and driving the Trump juggernaut both detests, and is detested by, the party’s media, corporate and intellectual establishment.

Apart from the uncharitable “hunger for war” phrase, this seems right. But political trends have a short half-lives nowadays. While I think that the Republican Party will be decimated this fall, I don’t believe that a progressive triumph will prove stable.

How Can Both Left and Right Believe that they are Losing?

Tyler Cowen writes,

the new book by Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson, and the subtitle is How the War on Government Led Us To Forget What Made America Prosper. It is well written and will appeal to many people. It is somewhat at variance with my own views, however. Most of all I would challenge the premise of a “war on government,” at least a successful war.

This reminds me of a puzzling phenomenon that I have noticed. If you read narratives of recent history from the perspective of the left and the right, each side believes it is losing. One could dismiss this as marketing strategy. If our side is winning, then why is it urgent to read my book or donate to my organization?

But I think it is possible for the each side to sincerely believe it is losing.

The left presumes that government can solve problems. We have problems. Therefore, we must be losing!

The right presumes that the government causes problems. We have problems. Therefore, we must be losing!