Big Sugar’s Gall

This is the first time I have ever written a blog post to comment on a newspaper advertisement, in this case in The Washington Post, on March 6th. I assume that there is no way to link to it. The ad says:

Big Candy’s Greed
[picture of a suit pocket stuffed with cash next to a picture of a farm with a foreclosure sign]
Jeopardizing 142,000 U.S. jobs and America’s food security isn’t a game. It’s a travesty.
So why are Big Candy executives lobbying Congress to outsource America’s sugar production?
To boost their already bloated profit margins at the expense of American farmers, workers and consumers.
Winners: A few corporate executives.
Losers: America
Support Current Sugar Policy–It Works for America
American Sugar Alliance
Backing America’s Beet and Cane Farmers

Why did the trade association executives choose to run this ad? Consider these possiblities:

1. They do not actually believe the oppressor-oppressed narrative they have concocted (to support sugar tariffs, of course), but they think that they can fool people with it and thereby influence policy.
2. They do not believe the narrative will influence policy, but they believe that they can fool the donors who sponsor their organization into thinking that they are getting something valuable for their contributions.
3. Actually, they are not trying to fool anyone with this narrative. In fact, they believe it themselves, even though to everyone else it is transparently ridiculous.

I lean toward (3). When you cash your paycheck from a pure rent-seeking organization, you want to convince yourself that you are actually a good guy, and in the process you make someone else the bad guy.

Tod Lindberg On the Left’s Success

Read the whole essay. He views the Left as animated by egalitarianism. This is close to my thesis that progressives use the language of oppressor-oppressed. Some excerpts:

The Left shares the suspicion of government power at the heart of classical liberalism, but only up to a point. Individuals need rights to protect them from overweening government intrusion, true, but government power in the proper hands can do good, and indeed the proper hands must wield the power of government in order to do the good of pursuing equality.

I have written that progressives believe that what their goals require is sufficient moral authority. Getting government to do good things is just a matter of summoning enough moral authority.

Few on the Left are willing to grant that their critics are likewise reasonable — in other words, that the Left has anything to gain from taking its critics seriously. That leaves the Left in search of an explanation for why it hasn’t won over its critics. The Left has three main explanations. The first is ignorance, in the sense that its critics lack sufficient knowledge of how society could be improved and why what the Left seeks would constitute improvement. For this category, there may be hope in the form of remedial education. The second is stupidity; its critics are simply unable to understand superior wisdom when they face it. There is little hope for them, alas. The third is venality — that its critics know better but seek to defend their position of personal privilege anyway. The only way to deal with these critics is to defeat them politically.

Lindberg notices, as I do, that this is not the New Left of the 1970s, with its revolutionary rhetoric and anti-establishment ideology.

The Left’s ambition is to obtain majority political support — no more, no less. The Revolution has been canceled. “The system is the solution.” The Democratic Party is the sole legitimate representative of the aspirations of Left 3.0.

Lindberg also notices the hard-line stance of today’s left. This may be the key quote of the essay:

The notion of an invincibly center-right electorate was anathema to the emerging Left 3.0. A key moment in its reconciliation with the Democratic Party was the latter’s abandonment of policies designed with a center-right electorate in mind. For the foreseeable future, the party would lay claim to the center not on the basis of adopting positions to appease moderates and independents, but on the basis of winning more than 50 percent of the vote on election day for candidates congenial to Left 3.0 and garnering majority public support for positions congenial to Left 3.0.

I see this hard-line stance evident in the progressive’s resistance to any suggestion for reducing government spending. You cannot suggest cuts in the short run, because that would mean austerity. You cannot suggest trimming entitlement promises, because Social Security is sacred and control over health care spending is a job for technocrats.

As an aside, possibly related, I find Venezuelans’ grief at the passing of Hugo Chavez to be fascinating and frightening. If nothing else, it suggests that earning popular support does not vindicate a politician’s wisdom or benevolence.

Three Axes Commentary

Readers suggested that I check out these two posts:

1. James Pethokoukis on Arthur Brooks. Brooks writes,

the core problem with out-of-control entitlements is not that they are costly—it is that the impending insolvency of Social Security and Medicare imperils the social safety net for the neediest citizens. Education innovation and school choice are not needed to fight rapacious unions and bureaucrats—too often the most prominent focus of conservative education concerns—but because poor children and their parents deserve better schools.

Brooks appears to be suggesting that conservatives adopt the oppressor-oppressed language when talking about entitlements and about school choice. My guess is that this will not be successful. I do not think that most ordinary people respond so much to the rhetoric of the three axes. And I don’t think that political elites can be talked into changing sides with different rhetoric.

Most of the energy in political discussions goes toward closing the mind of people on your own side. This seems to work, because elites on all sides are pretty closed-minded.

Of course, if you ask me what might be successful for conservatives, I do not have an answer.

2. Scott Alexander writes,

My hypothesis is that rightism is what happens when you’re optimizing for surviving an unsafe environment, leftism is what happens when you’re optimized for thriving in a safe environment…. Leftism wins over time because technology advances over time which means societies become more secure and abundant over time.

Read the whole thing. I think there is a little bit there that is correct. That is, I think that conservativism tends to include a tendency to worry that we could go down the tubes. In terms of the civilization-barbarism axis, conservatives see many routes back to barbarism.

However, I do not think that either progressives or conservatives would recognize themselves in Alexander’s mirror. Progressives also can be pessimistic–about the distribution of income and the environment, for example. And conservatives are optimistic along some dimensions.

My goal with the three-axis model is not to explain away someone else’s beliefs. Instead, the goal is to describe political beliefs in a way that reflects how each side talks about issues, particularly as they reach a settled opinion.

Gun Control

A reader familiar with the three-axes model asks,

The oppressed would seem to be victims of violence, but wouldn’t that make criminals the oppressors? How do hunters, recreational shooters, and the NRA end up being the bad guys?

1. The progressive model requires a villain who belongs to some sort of privileged class. Criminals do not fit the bill.

2. Hunting and recreational shooting are not approved activities for city-dwellers. Rural folks need to start acting like normal people and taking Zumba classes, going to restaurants run by celebrity chefs, and spending more time on smart phones.

Vickies and Thetes

Ross Douthat writes,

Yet the decline of work isn’t actually some wild Marxist scenario. It’s a basic reality of 21st-century American life, one that predates the financial crash and promises to continue apace even as normal economic growth returns. This decline isn’t unemployment in the usual sense, where people look for work and can’t find it. It’s a kind of post-employment, in which people drop out of the work force and find ways to live, more or less permanently, without a steady job. So instead of spreading from the top down, leisure time — wanted or unwanted — is expanding from the bottom up. Long hours are increasingly the province of the rich.

Pointer from Reihan Salam.

As befits his role as a conservative NYT columnist, Douthat gives this a civilization vs. barbarism spin.

Here the decline in work-force participation is of a piece with the broader turn away from community in America — from family breakdown and declining churchgoing to the retreat into the virtual forms of sport and sex and friendship. Like many of these trends, it poses a much greater threat to social mobility than to absolute prosperity. (A nonworking working class may not be immiserated; neither will its members ever find a way to rise above their station.) And its costs will be felt in people’s private lives and inner worlds even when they don’t show up in the nation’s G.D.P.

Note: Joseph Sunde thinks along similar lines.

George Lakoff and the Three-Axes Model

He writes,

These ideas are placed into public discourse via a sophisticated conservative communications machine: think tanks, messaging experts,Grover Norquist’s weekly meetings at Americans for Tax Reform and across the country, training institutes, booking agencies, talk radio, Fox News, Rupert Murdoch’s media empire, chambers of commerce, bloggers and the rest. This network puts those words and their frames, both political and moral, into the brains of a huge number of our citizens.

In my forthcoming e-book, I point out that each political tribe puts forth a narrative that blames the existence of the other tribe on a conspiracy of this kind. Lakoff lists the standard villains from the progressive point of view. For conservatives, it is “Hollywood” and the “mainstream media” that are to blame for people’s false consciousness.

In fact, Lakoff is most famous for Moral Politics, in which he argues that the difference between conservatives and progressives is that conservatives use a “strict-father” morality to evaluate public policy and progressives use a “nurturant parent” model. Never does Lakoff recognize that equating government-citizen and parent-child is a mistake.

Libertarians think that the false consciousness of people comes from academics such as Lakoff. For decades, we have hoped to change the narrative within universities.

Ralph Raico and the Three-Axes Model

Don Boudreaux offers an hour-long video of a talk by Ralph Raico in 1986. I found it well worth watching.

In three-axis terms, Raico begins his talk by saying that we consistently are taught to think of the role of government during the Industrial Revolution along the oppressor-oppressed axis. He ends his talk by saying that the welfare state’s origins in Germany should be viewed along the freedom-coercion axis.

In my forthcoming e-book on the three-axis model (not sure when it will appear, because I have just begun the process), I point out that every partisan blames the media for pushing the (false) narratives of the other side. Thus, it is quite typical for libertarians to complain about the false narrative of the Industrial Revolution and to try to supply the “true” narrative.

Having said that, and keep in mind that I put myself in the libertarian camp, I think that Raico makes a very good case, at least in the first half of the talk. That is, progressives tell a story in which whenever laissez-faire breaks out for a while, it has horrible consequences in terms of oppression, until government rescues the common man. A quarter-century after his talk, that is exactly how progressives tried to frame the financial crisis. Concerning the Industrial Revolution, this oppressor-oppressed narrative with government as savior is, as Raico points out, a baloney sandwich.

The Unintended Consequences of God

In The Chosen Few, Maristella Botticini and Zvi Eckstein offer an explanation for how Jews wound up in high-skilled, urban occupations. They argue (p. 95) that between 200 and 650 AD,

world Jewry became a small population of literate individuals (“the chosen few”). The unintended consequences of the religious ruling that required Jewish fathers to invest in their sons’ literacy and education fully displayed themselves

Jews became much more literate than other populations, but at a cost of numbers, as those who could not afford to educate their sons converted to other religions. Over this time period (p. 113)

the general population decreased by about 12 percent, whereas the Jewish population collapsed by roughly two-thirds

In those days, most people were farmers, for whom literacy’s costs generally outweighed its benefits. However, in an urbanized society with skilled occupations, literacy pays off. As urbanization gradually increased in the late Middle Ages, Jews came to fill high-skilled occupations. Botticini and Eckstein argue that literacy, rather than persecution, is what led Jews into these occupations.

Urbanization is a very important process in economic development. Jane Jacobs made that argument convincingly. So has Ed Glaeser. Specialization and trade take place in cities, by necessity and by convenience. Without modern transportation, rural areas are cut off from trade. Even today, city dwellers account for a disproportionate share of wealth.

This year’s Super Bowl commercial featured Paul Harvey speaking on the theme that God created the farmer. The commercial has a lot of overtones along the civilization-barbarism axis. If Harvey is correct, then God’s gift of the bible to the Jews had some unintended consequences. Ultimately, according to Botticini and Eckstein, the first monotheists embarked on a course that ultimately led them away from farms and into the urban world of specialization and trade.

The Three-Axis Model and Social Security

A while back, John Goodman wrote,

No one questions why we provide help to people who are sick or disabled. Or why we provide benefits to people who are temporarily out of work and looking for a job. But why subsidize people who want to play golf?

The short answer is that the elderly are treated as an oppressed class. They receive “senior discounts,” for example. (To be fair, in some cases this is price discrimination, intended to maximize revenue.)

From a conservative point of view, Social Security undermines the incentive to work, and not just for seniors. It is funded by the payroll tax. It also undermines the incentive to save, because people count on Social Security instead. Thus, Social Security goes against an important value for civilization–deferred gratification.

Are the elderly today truly an oppressed class? I think it would be hard to argue that case. However, the same might be said for many of the oppressed classes as defined by the progressive model. All unionized workers, including public-sector workers making more than the median income? All women?

One issue that I have not addressed in the oppressor-oppressed axis is how these classes come to be defined.