This essay is from 2001. More recently, a lot of people have complained about a slowdown in economic progress. Back then, I wrote,
I think that the adoption and filtering bottlenecks will start to have a visible effect on the rate of technological progress within ten years. Perhaps we will look back in ten years and say that the deceleration of change had already begun at the time that I wrote my essays.
What I mean by the adoption and filtering bottlenecks is that human limitations are an important factor. If we are confused and confounded by new technology, then innovation will have to slow down to allow us to catch up.
I read your essay.
I find Moore’s law has been going on since Samuel Morse invented the ‘code’. We can measure our ability to send dots and dashes, and we still do it today. The speed of our dots and dashes have been nearly doubling every two years since Sam.
Look at growth. Accelerated growth started with Sam and never stopped.
Checked the number on that doubling. It is about every five years we doubled since Sam.