Explaining our moral framework

I review The Mind Club, one of the most insightful books that few people have read.

Wegner and Grey say that we use two different approaches for trying to enter the minds of others. When we try to understand their feelings, we use simulation. We try to imagine ourselves in a similar situation. When we try to understand their actions, we use theorizing. We try to imagine the chain of reasoning that someone used in order to arrive at an action.

It seems that often we can understand either feelings or motives, but not both. When we perceive only feelings, we see a moral patient. When we see only motives, we see a moral agent.

Although the book was written several years before the death of George Floyd, it clearly anticipates the frequent depiction of Floyd with the features of a big baby.

Classic Codevilla

Angelo Codevilla, who died recently, was an eloquent essayist. A favorite of many people is his 2010 essay on America’s Ruling Class.

while most of the voters who call themselves Democrats say that Democratic officials represent them well, only a fourth of the voters who identify themselves as Republicans tell pollsters that Republican officeholders represent them well. Hence officeholders, Democrats and Republicans, gladden the hearts of some one-third of the electorate — most Democratic voters, plus a few Republicans. This means that Democratic politicians are the ruling class’s prime legitimate representatives and that because Republican politicians are supported by only a fourth of their voters while the rest vote for them reluctantly, most are aspirants for a junior role in the ruling class. In short, the ruling class has a party, the Democrats. But some two-thirds of Americans — a few Democratic voters, most Republican voters, and all independents — lack a vehicle in electoral politics.

Later,

Supposedly, modern society became so complex and productive, the technical skills to run it so rare, that it called forth a new class of highly educated officials and cooperators in an ever less private sector. . .In fact, our ruling class grew and set itself apart from the rest of us by its connection with ever bigger government, and above all by a certain attitude.

I think that this is actually true. Our lives have become way more complex. In the past, people understood how their tools worked and they could fix things that were broken. A farmer in 1800 probably could fix almost anything on the farm that broke. As recently as the 1950s, many people with no formal training in auto mechanics could fix cars.

Today, I think we are reliant on experts to a much greater extent than ever before. But the relationship between knowledge and power is out of kilter: people with too little knowledge have too much power.

New Deal by Stealth

Douglas Holtz-Eakin writes,

As noted by Gordon Gray, the CTC [childcare tax credit] in the Ways and Means-passed reconciliation bill costs $556 billion – and that covers only the next 5 years. A permanent CTC [expansion] would easily pass the $1 trillion mark, and it is the undisguised aim of the proponents for it to be permanent.

Will Marshall, of the Progressive Policy Institute, writes,

in a warning shot across Democratic bows, nearly three-in-four (73 percent) voters say they are concerned that “Democrats in Congress want to spend too much money without paying for it.”

I don’t think that the far-left faction cares.

One of these things is not like the others: The New Deal; The Great Society; Obamacare; and the $3.5 trillion reconciliation bill.

The difference is that with each of the first three, the radical policy measures were spelled out. The President put in a lot of effort selling them to the public. (I didn’t say that the salesmanship was honest.) With the reconciliation bill, there is no attempt to convince the public that it is desirable to enact an enormous child tax credit or to mandate ending use of fossil fuels in a decade. Instead, what we read is that if you’re on the blue team you want the number to be 3.5, but a few Democrats are holding out for something lower.

If all it takes to get the legislation to pass is to arrive at a compromise number, that can be done using legislative trickery, such as pretending that the CTC expansion will expire even sooner. So the radical agenda has a higher probability of passing than it might appear. If it does, then the latest wave of social transformation will be the first one to be instituted under conditions of near-total stealth.

More FITs news

My latest essay.

It strikes me that successful politicians, at least nowadays, are very high in “dark triad” traits. It seems obviously true of Clinton (both of them), Obama, Trump, and Biden (does Biden feel an ounce of remorse over Hunter Biden’s graft, the misguided drone strike in Afghanistan, or anything else?).

This is in reaction to an interview on Quillette with evolutionary psychologist David Buss. The essay also highlights recent output from various FITs stars, including Robert Wright, Glenn Loury, Heather Heying, Bret Weinstein, and Wesley Yang.

On the new elite

In a roundtable organized for Tablet by David Samuels, Angelo Codevilla said,

The current American elites hold every lever of power. But their power is brittle. They no longer try to persuade. They command and find ways of hurting and mocking the reticent. No organization that lives by pulling rank can be considered strong.

I think of this in terms of the distinction between a prestige hierarchy and a dominance hierarchy. When the elite uses dominance moves, that shows that it has lost prestige.

You probably want to read the whole discussion. It concludes with Codevilla saying “If we end up looking like Brazil, we should count ourselves lucky.”

In other words, have a nice day.

Against black racial identity

Jason D. Hill argues that blacks should lose their blackness.

This will not mean that they will cease referring to themselves as black. The world at large, as I have said, has picked out morphological markers and racialized them. In a very real way, people of color are stuck with those designators. But they can cease identifying psychologically and morally with the burdensome evil of racial ascription and all the ways in which it circumscribes life. Black Americans may learn the process of decoupling their robust or even surface self-images and depth-identities from racial-inflicted, denigrating identities designed for them for myriad reasons.

His piece goes 180 degrees against current trends. It aligns with my thinking.

Why are large cities one-party states?

Bryan Caplan raises the question.

From the standpoint of the textbook Median Voter Model, this is awfully puzzling. Even if urbanites are extremely left-wing, you would expect urban Republicans to move sharply left to accommodate them. Once they do so, the standard prediction is that Republicans will win half the time. But plainly they don’t.

I think I understand how the Democrats dominate big city elections. The Democrats have the public sector unions on their side, and the public sector unions are the only organized force in local elections. Also, local elections often are held at odd times, not coinciding with national elections, which reduces turnout and favors the organized over the general voting public.

In smaller communities, other, more idiosyncratic sets of interests might influence mayoral outcomes. Or a really popular individual could win against a public-sector bloc is smaller and less tightly organized than those in the big cities.

But if public sector workers aligned with one party are the key to controlling big-city politics, why is national politics competitive? At the Federal level, Democrats dominate within the public-sector work force.

Perhaps we actually do live in a single-party state, in spite of the fact that Republicans sometimes win the Presidency. Suppose that the people who staff the Federal government do not need to always control the Presidency in order to wield power. When a Republican is elected, he becomes a Potemkin President.

Hate trumps love

Zaid Jilani writes,

Because we’re taking pleasure in the pain of complete strangers—all we know is that they belong to the opposite faction, so they must be awful people—it’s much harder for us to slam the brakes and recognize that we’re starting to bask in sadism.

. . .There is a reason our greatest traditions, both religious and secular, tell us to love our enemies. That imperative is particularly important in the face of rising social and political polarization. The people opposite us in our big debates are our fellow citizens, and they deserve respect. Only by affirming that truth can we successfully tackle something as daunting as a global pandemic and build the social and civic bonds we need to maintain our grand experiment in pluralistic democracy.

You are unlikely to be a moral exemplar when you define yourself by the groups you hate.

From the Wesley Mouch how-to manual

In the progressive journal Democracy, David Stein writes,

President Biden could explore new ways of managing inflation by directing the National Economic Council to analyze the sources and impacts of sectoral inflation, along with possible remedies like credit controls, subsidized production, and boosting the supply of critical goods and services—whether N95 masks, steel, or housing—via government-owned and operated facilities.

Now that we have met and exceeded the World War II debt/GDP ratio, why not go back to wartime central planning?

Oy.

Christianity without foregiveness

Joshua Mitchell writes,

when Christianity reigned, transgression and innocence could not be decoupled from repentance, atonement, and forgiveness. Without these, life withers. For the moment—perhaps forever?—the reign of Christianity is behind us. What walks about is a ghoulish and deadly creature that lives by killing the living creatures that remain. It does this by scapegoating them, by attributing to them transgressions that must be purged—and giving them no means to repent, atone, or be forgiven. Identity politics is the macabre confirmation of the permanence of the Christian language of transgression and innocence; and it is the chilling confirmation that the age of Christianity has passed.

In a much longer piece, Anne Applebaum writes,

In the 19th century, Nathaniel Hawthorne’s novel argued for the replacement of exactly that kind of rigidity with a worldview that valued ambiguity, nuance, tolerance of difference—the liberal worldview—and that would forgive Hester Prynne for her mistakes. The liberal philosopher John Stuart Mill, writing at about the same time as Hawthorne, made a similar argument. Much of his most famous book, On Liberty, is dedicated not to governmental restraints on human liberty but to the threat posed by social conformism, by “the demand that all other people shall resemble ourselves.” Alexis de Tocqueville wrote about this problem, too. It was a serious challenge in 19th-century America, and is again in the 21st century.