Social Reasoning

Julian Baggini writes,

Most neuroscientists believe we have a dedicated system for social reasoning, quite different to the one that is used for non-social thinking. What’s more, when one system is on, the other turns off. Lieberman explains how the social system fulfils three core tasks. First, it must make connections with others, which involves feeling social pains and pleasures, such as those of rejection or belonging. Second, it must develop mind-reading skills, in order to know what others are thinking, so as to predict their behaviour and act appropriately. Finally, it must use these abilities to harmonise with others, so as to thrive safely in the social world.

Read the whole essay, which reviews three books on social psychology and philosophy.

I had not heard about this dichotomy between social reasoning and non-social thinking. Where can I find out more? One possibility that leaps to my mind: in thinking about politics, do progressives and conservatives have social reasoning turned on and non-social thinking turned off, but with libertarians it is the other way around?

One of the books reviewed in the essay, Joshua Greene’s Moral Tribes, looks like something that could relate to my Three Languages of Politics. However, I get the impression is that degenerates into a plea for the author’s version of utilitarianism.

My Review of Lant Pritchett

On the economics of education. The review starts,

In The Rebirth of Education: Schooling Ain’t Learning, development economist Lant Pritchett describes the challenges of education in underdeveloped countries. Because so many of the problems that he identifies are endemic to centralized, state-run education systems, I view the book as an instant classic in a genre that might be termed “applied libertarianism.”

I really think that the book deserves much more play. You may recall that I recommended the podcast in which Russ Roberts talked with Pritchett about the book.

What Kind of Corporatism?

A commenter on this post writes,

corporatism is the only game in town (http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2012/07/crony-capitalism-the-only-capitalism.html). The question then is what KIND of corporatism?

Libertarians who say that regulation = corporatism and who shrink back from any effort to regulate end up de facto enablers for the worst kind of corporatism from a progressive POV: the kind that makes the public in public/private partnership the junior partner.

I believe that you get the benefit of markets when businesses are allowed to fail. The worst evil of corporatism is its protection of incumbent businesses. What disturbs me about the progressive vision is that it seems to involve regulation of a static business environment rather than encouragement of a dynamic market with creative destruction.

Symposium on Hayek

It appears in the forthcoming issue of Critical Review. for now, all the papers except Jeffrey Friedman’s are gated. In the symposium, Karen L. Vaughn writes,

While Hayek overtly focused on the price system as the means of achieving economic coordination, in fact, prices will only do their work if the complex of market institutions within which action takes place is relatively stable. The coordination problem is solved by both the price system and the complex of rules, practices, and routines that characterize the market order. Moreover, the market order evolves over time as people find better “solutions” to their problems.

This seems to me to anticipate George Gilder’s description of high-information entrepreneurial activity occurring within a low-information channel of rules and regular behavior.

Daniel Kuehn writes,

the relative lengthiness of the capital structure in growth years, and the relative shortness of the capital structure in recessions, does not mean that it is too long during growth years and just right during the recession (as Hayek theorized). It may be the case that it is just right during growth years and too short during the recession.

Michael Strong writes,

[Hayek] realized that, just as constraints on freedom of expression limit our search for the truth, constraints on freedom of action do so as well. In fact, limiting freedom of action can lead to long-term reductions in human well-being insofar as innovation is necessarily based on the cognitive rewiring that takes place from encountering specific new situations.

In short, people learn from experiences that contradict their preconceptions, and limiting their experiences means limiting their ability to learn.

Andrew Gamble writes,

The growth of public-sector employment and bureaucratic private corporations has meant that most individuals, including Hayek himself, have been security-seeking employees, rather than risk-taking market entrepreneurs. As Hayek noted, a nation of employees is likely to be averse to risk and prone to seek safety, valuing security more than enterprise

Peter J. Boettke and Kyle W. O’Donnell write,

Given the impenetrable shroud of time and ignorance, trial-and-error experimentation through the competitive market process is among the only established methods for assessing the value to society of alternative courses of action. The effectiveness of this trial-and-error method is analogous to the theory of biological evolution by natural selection

Jeffrey Friedman writes (not gated),

the adaptive aspect of Hayek’s approach to interpretation can explain erroneous interpretations without invoking irrationality (as is so often done by social scientists, especially economists). Hayek’s explanation for error juxtaposes the wider objective world against expectations that we form on the basis of local objective conditions (as reflected by the stimuli we notice)…Hayek’s account of learning describes the correction of our subjective interpretations by further experience with the objective environment.

…we can be sure that everyone has what they view as good reasons for their beliefs, even when these beliefs seem, to us, to be obviously mistaken.

Friedman goes on to say that Hayek mis-speaks when he talks about local “knowledge” rather than local opinion. Read the entire essay.

A Challenge for Francis Fukuyama

He writes,

Many American political actors recognize that the political system isn’t working well, but nonetheless have very deep interests in keeping things as they are. Neither major party has an incentive to cut itself off from access to interest group money, and the interest groups fear a system where money can’t buy influence. As in the 1880s, a reform coalition has to emerge that unites groups without a stake in the current system. But achieving collective action among these out-groups is difficult; it requires skillful and patient leadership with a clear agenda, neither of which is automatically forthcoming. It may also require a major shock, or shocks, to the system. Such shocks were critical, after all, in crystallizing the Progressive movement—events like the Garfield assassination, the requirements of America’s rise as a global power, entry into the World War, and the crisis of the Great Depression.

Pointer from Tyler Cowen.

I did not care for this essay. He sounds to me like a Progressive, circa 1910. With sufficient moral authority, the government can be more effective and reflect the true Will of the People™.

My challenge for Fukuyama is to name a government with a large, diverse population that in his view works really well. The countries with populations larger than the U.S. are China and India, and I do not wish to trade governance with either country. In fact, of the top 10 most populous countries, the only one with a government that is not atrociously worse than ours is Japan. And they are the least diverse. Germany, with 1/4 of our population, is decently governed. So is the UK, with 1/5 of our population, and Canada, with 1/9 of our population.

When you think of a country with an effective central government, what comes to mind? I come up with Singapore, Switzerland, Finland, Sweden, and such, all with populations under 10 million. And Switzerland delegates a lot of political power to cantons and towns. What this says to me is that the most promising way to reform government in the U.S. is in the direction of Federalism, rather than betting on making the central government work better.

The Market is a Process, not a Decision Mechanism

Veronique de Rugy testified,

But unlike in the marketplace, the incentives for good management in government are very weak. For instance, even though lawmakers are expected to pursue the “public interest,” they make decisions that use other people’s money rather than their own. This means that their exposure to the risk of a bad decision is fairly limited, and there is little to no reward for spending taxpayers’ money wisely or providing a service effectively or efficiently

This is standard public choice theory, and it is not wrong. But it is not persuasive to those who believe that moral authority is or ought to be sufficient to overcome such problems.

I think that many commentators contrast the market and government as mechanisms for making decisions. In this contrast, the market sometimes has an efficiency advantage, but government is presumed to have a moral-authority advantage.

Instead, think of the market as a process for testing hypotheses. The process is brutally empirical, winnowing out losing strategies and poor execution. In contrast, elections are a much weaker testing mechanism. Elections are unable to winnow out sugar subsidies, improvident loan guarantees, schools that produce bad outcomes, etc.

It is a lack of understanding of this dynamic that leads some people to surprised that healthcare.gov does not work as well as one of the leading commercial web sites. I keep trying to reiterate, as I do on this podcast, that something like Amazon is a rare survivor of a tournament. The private sector produced plenty of business ideas and software systems that were as bad as Obamacare and healthcare.gov, but those get winnowed out.

What I’m Reading

The Rebirth of Education: Schooling Ain’t Learning, by Lant Pritchett. In short, it is an informed polemic against top-down, state-run school systems in underdeveloped countries, notably India. Tyler Cowen mentioned it, but otherwise it has received no play anywhere. Maybe it is just too contrary to conventional wisdom for people to grasp.

It is possibly the best book I have read this year. It immediately vaults onto the list of libertarian classics. This is in addition to being an important book about education in underdeveloped countries.

I will have to finish it and then re-read it before writing a more comprehensive review.

A Winning Argument?

Sheldon Richman writes,

Undoubtedly the nonlibertarian will respond that government officials were duly elected by the people according to the Constitution, or hired by those so elected. Thus they may do what is prohibited to you and me. This reply is inadequate. If you and I admittedly have no right to tax and regulate others, how could we delegate a nonexistent right to someone else through an election? Obviously, we can’t.

Read the whole thing to get the context. Or read Michael Huemer’s book to get an even lengthier treatment of the argument.

I think that most people want their own liberty, but they fear the liberty of others. I like to use the acronym FOOL, which stands for Fear Of Others’ Liberty. I think that many of us are FOOLs. I count myself a FOOL, at least to some extent.

Once you are a FOOL, then you may be willing, yea, eager, to delegate the job of constraining someone else’s liberty. We don’t all want to be policemen or prison guards, but most of us are glad that there are people doing those jobs.

If I delegate the job of constraining someone else’s liberty, then, unless I happen to be a despot, those who have the power to constrain someone else’s liberty have the power to constrain my liberty as well. That is roughly what we mean by equality before the law.

In short, I think it is reasonable not to be persuaded to become a libertarian by the sort of arguments Huemer or Richman make. Instead, a FOOL can say, “I do not want violent criminals running around free. I want to delegate to someone else the power to arrest and incarcerate them. I understand that this power might be used against me, but I am willing to live with that.”

Consider Paul Romer:

Across the world, public safety is the most important task facing city governments. In many poor countries, crime holds back the kind of urbanization essential for economic development. Closer to home, Detroit shows us that if they can, people will flee a city that fails to provide basic public safety.

Of course, one day you concede to the government the power to arrest and incarcerate violent criminals, and the next thing you know you have created an institution with the power to penalize people who sign contracts that provide “inadequate health insurance.”

It frustrates me that there are so many FOOLs who support the government using its power to penalize people who sign such contracts, or to penalize people who sell big-gulp soft drinks, or what have you. In short, whatever consensus that might have once existed in favor of limited government has evaporated.

Sometimes, the FOOLs want what amounts to despotism. It happened to Germany in 1933. There seems to be an echo today in Venezuela (the term “enabling law” has a chilling ring to it).

Perhaps there is no way to maintain a consensus for limited government, in which case there is not much middle ground between anarchy and despotism. But to most people, it is plausible that there is a middle ground, and you have to recognize their point of view if you want your arguments to register with them.