My Kavanaugh take

Eliot Cohen writes,

Of the many forms of cruelty, that directed against those who are weak or powerless is one of the worst. Of itself, it undermines whatever legitimacy a person can claim by virtue of intellectual or professional distinction. Societies and governments will have elites—that is simply inescapable, except perhaps in an ancient city state, and probably not even then. But in a free society, for those elites to exercise their power—their very real power, as those subject to it well know—they have to do so with restraint and good judgment.

He is referring in part to Ed Whelan, who made an accusation, which he later retracted, against what he called a “Kavanaugh look-alike.”

1. I really strongly endorse the first sentence of the quoted paragraph. My philosophy is “punch up, not down.” There is a columnist who writes often for Medium. Every column boils down to “America is bad. Capitalism is bad. American capitalism is bad.” If you’ve read one, you’ve read them all. The Medium editors plug him relentlessly. Probably 8 out of 10 emails I get from Medium highlight one of his columns, and that annoys me.. But I let it go. I would much prefer to go after two Nobel Prize winners.

2. I have another strongly-held view, which is that I should avoid commenting on whatever news story is most prominent at the moment. There are many reasons for that: don’t feed the trolls; write for the long term, not the short term; write where you can add value; etc.

3. But I admit that the Kavanaugh story grabs me somehow. So here goes.

[paragraphs deleted]

On second thought, no. Everybody’s nerves are too raw. I am back to my principle of letting the hot news story of the day pass.

Kling on George Gilder’s Google prophecy

One brief excerpt from my essay on Life After Google.

I also think that decentralization is important for liberty. I once hoped that a decentralized Internet would enhance freedom. Now, I am inclined to see lack of appreciation for liberty as a fundamentally human problem, not a technological one. Decentralized computer architecture solves some problems, but it creates others.

Elsewhere, David Henderson offers extensive comments on the recent WSJ interview with Gilder.

My case for the UBI

This essay elaborates on the issue of implicit tax rates that Greg Mankiw highlighted.

I am starting to get annoyed with the left-wing bias at Medium. It is one thing for the readers of the site to lean left. Fine. But my articles seem to get much, much less play than a lot of essays that offer nothing but left-wing drivel. And hardly anyone seems to come out of the left-wing echo chamber to read what I write. I get the sense that I am mostly being presented to the (few) people who already are sympathetic. It’s somewhat demotivating.

Quoted

Arnold Kling, 64, an American economist and Israeli folk dancer since his student days at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), has another theory. Kling, of Silver Spring, Maryland, contends that the nature of engagement in general has changed in 50 years, becoming both narrower and deeper. Increasingly complex new dances discourage beginners from trying Israeli folk dancing. Veteran dancers come for the “oldies,” those choreographed before 1990. That leaves a large generation gap of people who can’t relate to either end of the Israeli dance spectrum — thus the decline.

UPDATE: here is the link

The paragraph is a bit terse–a condensed version of Narrower, Deeper, Older.

I’ve attended some of the sessions pictured in the article, but I have managed to avoid being in the pictures. The second picture shows a session I attend regularly, but I think it was taken when I was out for a couple of months with a foot injury. The picture was taken early in the evening, when there are a lot of new beginners and perpetual beginners. There are three women dancing facing the camera, one with silver hair and two with arms high over their heads. I am confident that they know what they are doing. The rest of the dancers are. . .trying their best.

Tyranny of Metrics Watch

Frances Woolley surveys a lot of the literature on “outcomes-oriented” education.

In sum, learning outcomes are a relatively new approach to motivating good teaching. Yet, to the extent that they will succeed, it will be in old-fashioned ways: by persuading faculty members to sit down and have conversations about curriculum, teaching, and student assessment, by giving instructors feedback on their teaching performance and methods, and by mandating the teaching of core skills. Yet, in my experience, even achieving these minimal goals for a learning assessment process will not be easy, because of the structural rigidities within the university system.

Jerry Muller would have something to say about the outcomes approach.

My review of Lilliana Mason’s book

The book is Uncivil Agreement. I conclude,

Consider the persuasive case she builds that citizens’ political behavior is driven primarily by group emotions and tribal loyalty. This would seem to me to support a libertarian view that a better society is one in which most decisions are kept out of the realm of politics altogether. Making good choices is hard enough even for the most rational of centralized decision-makers. If the underlying political behavior is not even rational to begin with, then the prospects for beneficial government intervention must be even more remote.

I thought that the political psychology in her book was very consistent with what I wrote in TLP.

Here is an interview of Mason by Ezra Klein, which struck me as very worth a listen. Neither of them seems to have found that the research moves them in a libertarian direction.

So far, the book still ranks at the top of my list of non-fiction books of the year.

How deficit spending plays out

Sarah Krouse in the WSJ writes about underfunded pensions at state and local governments.

When the math no longer works the result is Central Falls, R.I., a city of 19,359. Today, retired police and firefighters are wrestling with the consequences of agreeing to cut their monthly pension checks by as much as 55% when the town was working to escape insolvency. The fiscal situation of the city, which filed for bankruptcy in 2011, has improved, but the retirees aren’t getting their full pensions back.

She points out that the total unfunded liability of these pensions is $5 trillion.

The trouble with deficit spending, as I have pointed out, is that it sets the stage for political conflict. Retirees expect their benefits. Bond-holders expect to get paid back. Taxpayers expect current services. Some groups are going to be disappointed.

Talent effects and inequality

My latest essay concludes,

In many industries nowadays, small teams of talented individuals can out-compete larger collections of mass workers. Elite skills, reputations, and connections can create barriers to entry that produce high returns. In some important fields, the stars get the best jobs, which in turn enables them to enhance their know-how and their reputations. And the most talented people in one field are likely to work in firms with the most talented people in other fields, creating synergies that increase their rewards even further.

The Trump Administration’s re-organization proposal

So far, I have only skimmed parts of the reform proposal.

Reorganizations in the private sector have demonstrated that without efficient and effective implementation, even well-conceived reorganizations may fail to achieve the intended benefits. To ensure effective implementation, the President’s Management Agenda highlighted three areas (see figure to the right) which help drive effective organization transformation:
• Information Technology Modernization.
• Data, Accountability, and Transparency.
• People and the Workforce of the Future.

It is a very serious document, which you would not have expected if you only followed this Administration through tweets and media reports.

Of course, I would have liked to see something more sweeping, along the lines that I proposed six years ago. From an organization-chart perspective, the President has over 150 direct reports, and I would have reduced it to eight.