Martin Gurri watch

Was 2019 the year of Martin Gurri? Consider the list of countries where protests took place, as he points out in a review post.

when the whole world is watching, a local demand for political change can start to go global in an instant. At a certain point, the process becomes self-sustaining and self-reinforcing: that threshold may have been crossed in November, when at least eight significant street uprisings were rumbling along concurrently (Bolivia, Catalonia, Chile, Colombia, Hong Kong, Iraq, Iran, and Lebanon – with France, the Netherlands, Nicaragua, and Venezuela simmering in the background).

But

This would be a good time to bring up the pessimistic hypothesis. It holds that the loss of control over information must be fatal to modern government as a system: the universal spread of revolt can be explained as a failure cascade, driving that system inexorably toward disorganization and reconfiguration. Failure cascades can be thought of as negative virality. A local breakdown leads to the progressive loss of higher functions, until the system falls apart. This, in brief, is why airplanes crash and bridges collapse.

Non-fiction books of the year

No overlap with Tyler’s list. I don’t know how he got through Jewish Emancipation. I will have to give Whiteshift another try.

My list:

Robby Soave, Panic Attack

David Epstein, Range

Tyler Cowen, Big Business

Kevin Mitchell, Innate

Gregory Zuckerman, The Man Who Solved the Market

Yuval Levin, A Time to Build

I have spent considerable time pondering the last three, and I have essays on them forthcoming.

Levin’s book does not come out until next year. But to repeat it on next year’s list would be forgivable.