AP Statistics Lectures
Table of Contents
by Arnold Kling

Kling Diagrams

Textbooks use Venn Diagrams to represent the probability space for two or more events. Venn Diagrams use circles, ovals or other irregular shapes to represent the probabilities of different events.

I prefer a variation on the Venn Diagram, in which the probabilities of individual events are represented by rectangles within the main box. With two events, A and B, the probability of A is represented by a rectangle along the left side of the box, and the probability of event B is represented by a rectangle along the bottom of the box.

Suppose that we have two events, A and B, and that P(A) = .3 and P(B) = .5. Here is the "Kling Diagram" for event A by itself.

P(A) = .3
P(Ac) = .7

The diagram shows that event A either occurs, with probability P(A), or it does not occur, with probability P(Ac). How would this be shown in a Venn diagram?

Here is the diagram for event B by itself.

P(Bc) = .5
P(B) = .5

Again, the sample space is simply {B,Bc}.

Now, we can use a Kling diagram to show two independent events, A and B. If they are independent, then P(A and B) = .15

P(A and Bc) = .15
P(A and B) = .15
P(Ac and Bc) = .35;
P(Ac and B) = .35;

The bottom left rectangle is what on a Venn Diagram would be shown as the intersection of the two events. However, in a Venn Diagram, I cannot think of any way to illustrate the fact that the events are independent. In the Kling Diagram, the events are independent because the probability of A (the width of the rectangles) is the same on top and bottom.

Next, suppose that A and B are positively related. Suppose that P(A and B) = .20, rather than .15. Then, we have

P(A and Bc) = .10
P(A and B) = .20
P(Ac and Bc) = .40;
P(Ac and B) = .30;

Compared with independent events, the probability of A is higher when B occurs (on the bottom) than otherwise (on the top).

Next, we have the Kling diagram for negatively related events.

P(A and Bc) = .20
P(A and B) = .10
P(Ac and Bc) = .30;
P(Ac and B) = .40;

Compared with independent events, the probability of A is lower when B occurs (on the bottom) than otherwise (on the top).

QUESTION: Draw a Kling Diagram for disjoint events, where P(A and B) = 0. Also, draw a Kling diagram to represent three independent events A,B, and C, with probabilities .3, .5, and .4, respectively. (Hint: Take the Kling diagram for two independent events and draw a rectangle in the center.) Label each possible combination (example: A and Bc and C) and give the probability of each.